Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.000060 0.000063 0.000067 0.000070 0.000074 0.000078 0.000082
2025-03-30 0.000055 0.000059 0.000064 0.000069 0.000075 0.000082 0.000090
2025-04-06 0.000050 0.000055 0.000060 0.000067 0.000074 0.000083 0.000093
2025-04-13 0.000046 0.000051 0.000057 0.000064 0.000072 0.000082 0.000095
2025-04-20 0.000043 0.000048 0.000054 0.000062 0.000071 0.000081 0.000095
2025-04-27 0.000041 0.000046 0.000052 0.000060 0.000070 0.000082 0.000098
2025-05-04 0.000040 0.000046 0.000052 0.000061 0.000072 0.000086 0.000104
2025-05-11 0.000039 0.000045 0.000052 0.000062 0.000074 0.000089 0.000110
2025-05-18 0.000039 0.000046 0.000054 0.000064 0.000078 0.000096 0.000122
2025-05-25 0.000037 0.000044 0.000052 0.000062 0.000076 0.000095 0.000122
2025-06-01 0.000036 0.000042 0.000050 0.000060 0.000074 0.000093 0.000121
2025-06-08 0.000035 0.000041 0.000049 0.000060 0.000075 0.000095 0.000126
2025-06-15 0.000034 0.000041 0.000050 0.000061 0.000077 0.000100 0.000136
2025-06-22 0.000033 0.000040 0.000048 0.000060 0.000077 0.000101 0.000141
2025-06-29 0.000032 0.000038 0.000047 0.000058 0.000075 0.000100 0.000141
2025-07-06 0.000030 0.000036 0.000045 0.000056 0.000073 0.000097 0.000139
2025-07-13 0.000029 0.000035 0.000043 0.000054 0.000071 0.000095 0.000137
2025-07-20 0.000027 0.000034 0.000042 0.000053 0.000070 0.000095 0.000138
2025-07-27 0.000027 0.000033 0.000042 0.000054 0.000072 0.000099 0.000147
2025-08-03 0.000027 0.000033 0.000042 0.000054 0.000073 0.000102 0.000156
2025-08-10 0.000027 0.000034 0.000043 0.000056 0.000077 0.000110 0.000173
2025-08-17 0.000026 0.000033 0.000041 0.000055 0.000075 0.000108 0.000173
2025-08-24 0.000025 0.000031 0.000040 0.000053 0.000073 0.000106 0.000170